Recidivism Trend Update 2018

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  1. Many offenders will get out of prison and then within a year get arrested again. According to the article “17% were not arrested after release during the 9-year follow-up period.” But the other percent were rearrested within the follow nine years. I believe this number to be so high, because many people lose everything once they go to prison. They miss their payments for their house, or living area, so then they have nowhere to live. Then they also lose everything that is also in their house. Eventually when they get out, they have nothing. Most likely they have lost contact with family and their friends. So they then realize they have nothing, and even though prison was awful, they had three full meals every day, a roof over their head, and somewhere to sleep when it's hot or cold outside. Most people would rather have food, and a place to sleep, then to be out on the streets every night exposed to cold weather, or even crimes. But these offenders are only a small portion, the other portion can be part of a gang. Therefore, when they do get out some of the gang members will accept them into their homes and help them get back on their feet again. The only problem with this, is usually these offenders will still participate in criminal activity to “fit in” to their gang or even remain a member to feel the love and friendship they have to offer. This can then lead to them ending up back in prison because they get caught again. Very few offenders are still welcomed back in by their family and are able to completely change their lives around to become a better person. If we had “aftercare” programs for offenders getting out of jail, we would have less offenders re-committing crimes and ending up back in prison. These programs would help past offenders become better people and to help them get back on their feet to change their lives and start over. ProbdrinkingStar$’s711

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    1. I really like that you brought up the housing crisis with formerly incarcerated individuals. I did the same, and agree with everything you said. When people are released from jail, such a significant portion of them are re-arrested and sent back through that revolving door for things like petty homelessness crimes, like public urination, sleeping in public places, and panhandling. This often does lead people to go back to their roots, and if they are gang members, this can often lead to more crime, as you mentioned. This is why I believe we need to help the formerly incarcerated more by offering them some better means of getting a roof over their heads and off the streets. If we could solve this problem, these statistics would drastically decrease. GMan219711

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    2. Before reading this I had no idea that, quote, “17% were not arrested after release during the 9-year follow-up period”. I agree that, that number is so high because once you go to prison you will lose everything. They lose their homes and everything in them. I also agree with you on that most people would rather be in a gang, who would open up their home to them, than stay out on the streets with nothing. This system needs to be changed to were when a person gets out of prison they have a place to stay till they find a job and get back on their feet. If they don’t they will most likely do anything to just stay warm. –Adventureflight711

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  2. 83 percent of the prisoners released in 2005 were arrested at least once in the 9 years following their release from prison. And the remaining 17 percent were not arrested during the 9 years following their release. According to the article 4 in every 9 prisoners released in 2005 were arrested at least once during their first year of release. It looks like the first to the second year of their release are the times when they will be sent to jail. It looks like from the graph that as the years go on there is a less of a chance of them getting arrested again. Prisoners have no way to keep their homes while they are behind bars. So when the prisoners get out they have nowhere to go but the streets and that usually leads to an arrest. It is surprising to see so many people going back to prison once they get out. The reason they got locked up in the first place is the most likely the reason they are going back to prison. Forty four percent of prisoners released in 2005 were arrested during the first year following their release. The remaining percent left were after the first year or so. It also appears that younger people have a higher chance of being arrested again than older people do. During the second year thirty eight percent of the prisoners released in 2005 were sent back to prison. There needs to be a way for prisoners to catch up to society or learn how to act outside of prison so the first few years following their release they do not get sent back to prison. In the long run it would save everyone a lot of money because we pay to hold prisoners in prison. -crispychicken711

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    1. I think it’s sad when prisoners are released and they have nowhere to go because they lost their house. Some people want to change and when they are released, it’s hard to have a fresh start because they have nothing. If they don't have a house then they’re gonna be on the streets and that could increase their chances of committing crimes and then they are back in prison. I was surprised that forty percent of prisoner were arrested during their first year of being out of prison. That’s almost half and that basically means that there could be a fifty fifty chance of them going back. I agree that there should be more help with helping prisoners come back to society. Getting more counselors could help or placing someone in rehab could help too. -Soccer31711

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    2. -crispychicken711, Aren’t these numbers crazy. I was surprised to learn about these real statistics. Why is it so common that released prisons will be rearrested within nine years? Are we as a nation to blame for this catastrophe? I think you said it quite nicely, once the prisoners are released, they truly have no where to go. While in prison, their houses and what they owned are taken from them, which leaves them without a good place to live. This issue is so real for most released prisoners. Living a life crime-free when they have nothing is extremely hard. I can only imagine. -CoalRoller117

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  3. 44% of released prisoners were arrested during the first year of release, while 24% were arrested on year 9. 82% of prisoners arrested during the 9-year period were arrested within the first 3 years. Both of these statistics are seriously high reoffending rates that prove to me that there is something wrong with our correctional systems. I believe that in order for these numbers to be this high, we either do not offer nearly enough rehabilitation programs, we don’t prepare soon-to-be-released prisoners for life on the outside again and how to avoid re-arrest, and we just simply aren’t putting forth the effort to actually help these people stay out of the revolving door. From doing previous blogs, I know that housing for prisoners immediately after being released is a big issue- there is a serious homelessness problem that affects a large portion of our formerly incarcerated population because it is extremely difficult for them to find permanent housing, let alone somewhere just simply off the streets. This does vary from race to race, but it does affect all races/ethnicities/genders and religions. In order for the first couple of statistics I mentioned to change, we first need to implement ways for our prisoners to stand a chance upon release and help them find some sort of decent housing to keep them off the streets. I’d bet, from prior knowledge/research, that a pretty large portion of those who are arrested again within the 9-year after release period are arrested due to petty homelessness crimes, such as public urination, sleeping in public, or panhandling. I believe the first step in solving this crisis is to integrate housing programs with the prison system to help get a significant portion of those homeless people off the streets. GMan219711

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    1. GMan219711 I agree with you. They talk about how majority of the homeless people are reported previously incarcerated people but they don’t do anything to help them once they are in jail for so long they lose their house, cars, etc and over the time of being in jail you lose the relationship with most of your family members and all of that on top of being in jail causes mental illness and in prison they don't properly help those with mental illness so once they get released from jail there’s literally no luck or help from there. Providing more support to those that are least from prison at least for the first three months to give them time to get back on their feet i believe with increase the homeless rate.KenzieLand711

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    2. I agree, these people have a lot to lose when they go to prison. Sometimes those things won’t be there when they get out prison. And when they get out its going to be hard for them to live because they have nothing at all. Which requires them to do anything for them to survive and it may be a little crime involved with that. They have to have some type of support to help the, get back on their feet. -babyblue711

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  4. The recidivism rate for people getting out of prison has a 40% chance of returning within that first year even after 9yrs it is a 28% chance of them returning. The question that so many wonder is what could possibly has taken place that after loosing the most precious thing a person has, being their freedom, how could anyone allow this to happen again? There could be many reasons such as not having the opportunity to work, a mental condition, homeless, there are many reasons that may not justify but at least understand why this could happen. The fact that a person could steal food out of a grocery store and return to prison is a fine example this is a crime but is it worse to allow a person to starve. These are some of the non-violent crimes that has the recidivism rate so high. There are also certain restrictions put on a person coming from prison that prevents them from really having an opportunity to become a productive member of society. these restrictions such as not being allowed around certain tools, areas, not allowed to reside in certain places perhaps some of these factors play a part in a person returning to prison. There are also people who simply like to live a life of crime whatever the reason may be the recidivism rate is at a continuing pace. The United States Department of Justice examines the post-release offending patterns of former prisoners and their involvement in criminal activity within and outside of the state where they were imprisoned at. The 401,288 state prisoners released in 2005 had an estimated 1,994,000 arrest during a 9yr period an average of 5 arrest per released prisoner,60% of these arrest occurred during years 4 thru 9 an estimated 68% of released prisoners were arrested within three years 79% within six years and 83% within nine years. I believe that if it were more jobs and services to help people once they are released perhaps the recidivism rate would drop tremendously. The U.S already has more people incarcerated than any other nation and if a good percentage of these prisoners are returning soon after they are released there will never be a solution to this problem. I also feel that if the prison system should offer some sort of mandatory pre-release program to aid in re-entering society instead of canceling most of the educational opportunities this may help in finding a solution to the problem of recidivism. Most people are not bad just made a mistake and simply need a pick-up some inspiration some form of useful assistance instead of warehousing people and then sending them out into society without any skills in order to help in not returning to prison. We need to try and help one another to become a unified nation be the caring nation that we are and assist each other in trying to attain the American dream and maybe then our title as having more of its countrymen and women incarcerated then any other nation and have this outstanding recidivism rate, maybe then all of that will change LAWHOGG711

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    1. I understand how you feel about certain crimes, petty crimes and being re-incarcerated because it is a lot of these particular crimes that cause recidivism. Mentioning aftercare programs I agree they are greatly needed all these play a major role in recidivism you touched on topics that are greatly ignored even the housing and gangs you mentioned all should be considered and would help I agree.LAWHOGG711

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    2. I stand by with what you’re saying about the restrictions on these people having restrictions on getting back to becoming a productive member of society. I think it was one of the last articles read before these that showed the major restrictions that stopped people from becoming the well-oiled cog in the machine called society. Like the housing restrictions hold people back because you do need a place of residents to get a job. -Rollforinitiative711

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  5. Five in six or 83 percent of people who got out of prison in 2005 were arrested at least once in the 9 year follow up period. That is crazy to think about, that less than 20 percent of these people were not going to get arrested again in that 9 year period. Within a year of there release in 2005, almost half of the prisoners were arrested at least once. As more years passed the less likely a prisoner was arrested at least once. Three years following there release in 2005 only 1/3 of the prisoners were likely to get arrested. That number drops even more after the 9 year mark, only 25 percent of the prisoners were likely to be arrested at least once. After the reports of recidivism was changed from a 3 year follow up to a 9 year follow up we saw an increase of recidivism by 15 percent. During the 9 year period we saw that a prisoner who were released on a property offense were more likely to be arrested in the first year of release. A younger prisoner who was 24 years or younger was also more likely to be arrested in the first year after release than an older prisoner who is 40 years or older. The statistic that this report gave is that 28 percent of the younger prisoners were arrested compared to 19 percent of older prisoners. In the first year after release a person who committed a violent offence was more likely to be arrested than a person who committed a property or drug offense. 11 percent of people who committed a violent crime were arrested in the first year compared to 9 percent who commit property crime and 7 percent who committed drug crimes. I think with these numbers we should be more focused on making sure younger prisoners who committed violent crimes get the help they need so that they do not re-offend and get put back in jail. -ClarkKent711

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  6. From reading the first few paragraphs of the article, it doesn't surprise me of the data on the nine year follow up with previously incarcerated individuals. It is stated that 83% state prisoners released in 2005 were arrested again at least once during the nine years following their release and only 17% were not arrested. It is really sad that more than half of these individuals ended up right back where they were to begin with; prison. You would think that with this trend, we would have a lot more rehabilitation facilities and programs for people who are getting out of prison just so these numbers would go down. The percentage of people arrested after their release makes it seem like our law enforcement doesn't care much about the people. Programs and even homes for previously incarcerated people to live in right when they get out of prison could be a potential strategy to use to get the recidivism percentage to drop. Another interesting part of this article was the number of deaths during the follow up period. It is documented that 2173 of the 70878 sampled prisoners died during the nine year follow up period. I wish that they explained more into detail of how these deaths occured, but i can only imagine that these deaths were caused by violence or maybe even being homeless. Since we know there are not that many programs to get previously incarcerated people back on track, i feel like most likely going back to their old ways was the cause of many of their deaths. The reason why I think being homeless could have been another cause of death is because those who don't have the opportunity to find a job, a place to live, or even food wing up dying of unsanitary environments, or failure to maintaining good health. If we had more programs to help people who want to change their lives for the better after prison, recidivism rates would drastically go down. Redbird711

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  7. This article was truly eye opening; the numbers sobering and the information surprising. The study was over a nine-year period. Upon reading the title, I wondered why it was nine years vs eight or ten years of the study. What was so enticing about nine years? Another thing I noticed was that only 30 states were a part of the research. Why not include all 50 states? I wonder if all the 50 states were included in the study if the data would have change any. Interesting. Within this research, they looked at many different characteristics of recidivism; sex, age, race and most serious commitment offenses in order to understand the data as a whole better. Nine out of ten prisoners that were released were male. For me, that was almost predicable. However, I was unaware of how extreme the ratio between men and women is. Definitely something to consider why that might be. It is also interesting that 79% percent of prisoners were arrested after 6 years following their release from prison. With this kind of data, I wonder if the prison system punishment is actually effective and is doing what it was designed to do. With numbers that extreme, the argument is strong on the opposing side. Are prisons actually helping our nation? The data would suggest no. This study should sober us up greatly. Things need to change, and need to change quickly; this is simply unacceptable. Another set of startling numbers is, 90.1 percent of all people under the age of 24, upon being released will be arrested within nine years after their first release. This means only ten percent will not reoffend. These numbers are shocking to me. I had no idea of how drastic this ration is in our country. I feel the common public is softly unaware of this data. We need to take action as this is our future generation of our country, we need to change that ratio. -CoalRoller117

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  8. In this article it explains that "about 4 in 9 prisoners in 2005 were arrested at least once during the 9 years following their release, about 1 in 3 were arrested during the third year after release, and nearly 1 in 4 were arrested during their ninth year." I find pro's and con's in this way of determining these statistics because some prisoners are more likely to recommit a crime then others for example the ones that had the drug offenses for like 0.003 grams of marijuana and were just "trying it" are less likely than someone who committed sexual assault/domestic battery. In these statistics they should also take into effect the age of the person committing a crime because someone who is younger is more likely to not do the crime again than someone who is older or vice versa. In this article they bring up the sex of prisoners because male prisoners are more likely to recommit a crime than a female prisoner, and I personally think that this is correct because men to trust on their testosterone more and therefor don't listen to people or the "don't do it again" method than females who are genetically more able to talk and understand situations better than males, not saying that they won't do a crime because in the article they show that males are 1.5x more likely to be rearrested than females but the number of both are still way to high for my likely and hopping that we can introduce a rehabilitation center for released prisoners to take so they can slowly put themselves back into society and show them that they can rejoin society unlike how today we just release people and hope that they can just return back to society because in fact prisoners who are released generally don't have a home and even if they have the money to afford an apartment or house the owner would most likely deny them because they have a criminal record and most places don't want someone like that, lets say they get a house what about a job, most jobs that I have had required me to either show my criminal background, even if they don't ask you for one they could probably just look up your name into a database and realize that they don't want or don't think that they can trust you.
    -z33 711

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